Writing
Long-form research pieces and shorter notes on what is happening in AI capability, compute, and systems.
001ESSAYEscape VelocityAI reaches economic escape velocity when intelligence stops being the binding constraint and starts recursively lowering the cost of building productive capacity. Almost nothing in the current boom is evidence either way.002ESSAYAuthored Lives in an Uncaring UniverseHappiness is a poor test for whether a life is worth caring about. What survives, once every external source of meaning is dismantled, is the decision to author rather than drift.003ESSAYThe Open-Weight Cyber WindowWhen cyber capability becomes downloadable, cheap, and persistent, the decisive variable is coordination.004ESSAYTrump's Trade War Is a Blunt WeaponThe strongest case for the tariffs is better than their critics admit. It still fails — and the week the policy reversed itself showed why. What America actually needs is a scalpel.